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The end of the bear market or a simple upward correction?

Bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) prices have risen this week. Hope for a short-term bullish recovery is back but after such a strong rally, what are the different scenarios to watch? The high point of this new technical analysis of the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin (BTC) is facing a huge wall of resistance

After developing in a stable manner for long weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) price rose and regained +12.5% ​​of its value in one week. Now, its price is trying to break a major resistance area since it was the $19,000/$20,000 area that provided support during the long-term period from June to November 2022.

Figure 1 - Daily Bitcoin price chart by Tagado

Figure 1 – Daily Bitcoin price chart

Although this increase is encouraging and approaches key levels, Bitcoin is still in a downtrend With ever low peaks. We see that too The price stumbled surgically on the daily trend line and also at 0.618 Fibonacci level.

Furthermore it, This $19,000 area is just below the old six-month range. As a reminder, any broken support will become resistance, so the price is likely to see rejection in the next few days and be correct, at least temporarily.

If the price were to confirm a re-consolidation of the range by performing, say, a pullback at the top of the ichomoku cloud, then there is a strong possibility that the price will then seek the Weekly Kijun at 20360, or even the middle of the daily range at $21,500. This rally must be done in stages to consolidate the various pillars and to be able to accumulate as much liquidity as possible with the aim of breaking this huge wall of resistance.

In the opposite case, if the price fails to stay within the range, it should return to test its support at $15,800. At that time, it will be necessary to maintain this level, otherwise there will be a strong risk of seeing the price go down The still active Bear Flag target is $14,300.

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Bitcoin (BTC) reversal pattern in h4?

By connecting the local peaks and troughs together, BTC price (in a lower time frame) is showing us a price that is increasing in volatility within a chart pattern called the ‘Broadening Rising Wedge’. This type of pattern is known to break from the bottom, so it is advised to stay alert as it coincides with the very important resistance level marked by the old daily range.

Ether (H4) price chart by Tagado

The odds of this pattern tend to push the price towards a breakout from below towards $14,500. So the question is, will the buyers be able to beat the odds and send the price back above $20,000 with that target at $21,350? I will answer in the next few days.

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Ether (ETH) must break its h4 resistance

Regarding the price of ether (ETH), It is moving in an ascending channel and is now below the resistance level. It will be interesting to monitor this asset over the next few days to see if the price is able to break this pattern from above, or if we are at the top of the local market again.

Ether (H4) price chart by Tagado

Figure 3 – Ether price chart (H4)

Here, the breakout target will be around $1,631. However, the pattern is somewhat bearish on Bitcoin, Watch out that it does not contain a rejection or else Ether should follow towards $1050.

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The conclusion of this technical analysis

Bitcoin and Ether stops under major resistance. We will have to break it to consider a new bullish impulse in the coming days, otherwise pay attention to the bearish targets that might make us quickly lose this good progress in the past few days.

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Chart source: TradingView

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